But they also point to something we don’t share with the other new pseudo-intelligences emerging today: machine intelligence.
Net international migration to the U.S. peaked at 2.7 million new entries in 2024, but has since sharply declined. It fell to 1.3 million last summer, according to January Census data, and then turned net negative, according to research from Brookings, meaning more people are leaving the U.S. than coming in. The private sector has weighed in, too, with Goldman Sachs economists reporting last week that immigration policies put in place over the past year have resulted in an 80% decline in net migration relative to the historical average.
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这也是为什么2025年会成为商业保险的大重写之年。模板条款一旦确定，承保流程就会系统更新，问卷会追问企业把生成式AI用在何处、谁负责治理、是否做红队、是否有监控与日志；除外责任会变得更硬；子限额与免赔会围绕治理证据链重新定价。标准化的意义不只在于更严，而在于它把责任边界从个别公司各写各的升级为行业模板。进入模板时代，企业很难再用没注意到来逃避治理。要么承认暴露并把它买回来，要么用可验证控制把它变成可承保风险。
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